John de Boer published a commentary on urbanization and fragile cities in , an excerpt of which is included below.
. Over the past 40 years, urban populations living in the lower income bracket in fragile countries has increased by an astonishing . According to the UN in the coming 15 years, some of the most fragile and conflict affected countries including Iraq, Syria, Somalia, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, the DRC, Liberia, Myanmar, and the Central African Republic will have urban populations making up . As people accumulate in the cities of fragile and conflict affected states at a rapid pace, it is plausible that the capacity of the local governments to deliver services, govern and provide security will be pushed to the breaking point.